SUI Price Analysis: Daily Structure Break Meets A Reclaim At $1.09

SUI price analysis starts with a daily chart that broke structure on October 8 and reclaimed it two days later. On Binance spot the token closed that Thursday at $1.0408, under the $1.0922 swing low from September 29. By Saturday's close it sat at $1.1132 again, and on October 11 it trades near $1.096.

SUI price analysis: what the weekly and daily charts say

The weekly picture is still constructive. The week of September 21 closed above $0.954 and flipped structure up. That candle ran to $1.2947, the high of the whole move. The next swing high on the weekly chart sits at $1.4223 from the week of May 4.

The daily chart is messier. Price made a lower high at $1.2655 on October 4, then slid. The October 8 candle wicked down to $0.9980 before closing at $1.0408. That close broke the September 29 swing low, a bearish break of market structure. The reclaim on October 10 turned it into a failed break.

Daily candles with computed trend lines, open fair value gaps and the EMA stack, from Binance SUI/USDT.

Moving averages tell a calmer story. The 20-day EMA sits at $1.085, the 50-day at $0.963 and the 200-day at $0.975, so price is above all three. Bitcoin's close of $82,992 is above its rising 100-day average of $72,897, and SUI itself is inside its 20-day range.

The 4h map for SUI

Zoom to four hours and the swing points are clear. The last two swing highs are $1.1400 from October 10 at 12:00 UTC and $1.0797 from October 9. Swing lows are $1.1049 from October 7 and the $0.9980 flush from October 8. A bullish break of structure printed on October 10 when a 4h candle closed above $1.0797.

Two ICT-style zones sit overhead. A bearish order block spans $1.1264 to $1.1468, and a bearish fair value gap from October 7 covers $1.1453 to $1.1746. Both are unfilled, which makes the $1.14 to $1.17 area the first real test.

Four-hour candles with computed swings, the unfilled order block and fair value gaps, from Binance SUI/USDT.

Two scenarios, with triggers

For the upside, watch for a 4h candle that closes above $1.1400. If that happens, the order block top at $1.1468 comes into play first, then $1.1746 at the top of the gap, and further up $1.2186 and $1.2545. A 4h close back under $1.0797 would kill the idea.

For the downside, the line is $1.0655, the low printed on October 10. A 4h close beneath it puts $0.9980 back in view, and under that the EMA zone near $0.975 and $0.963. If a 4h candle closes above $1.1049 instead, the bearish case is off the table.

In this SUI price analysis the evidence is balanced. The weekly structure, the EMA stack and the Bitcoin trend filter point up, while the open supply between $1.14 and $1.17 sits right above price. Funding is slightly positive and 0.68 of accounts are short, listed here as facts only.

The TradingView four-hour SUI/USDT chart used to cross-check the swings above.

Every level in this SUI price analysis comes from Binance candle data as of October 11, 2026, 09:00 UTC. It reads structure and does not recommend a trade.